As you well know, we’ve been talking about an anticipated “Red Wave” for some time now. Much of the country, including those who helped put Joe Biden in office, are not happy with how he and his fellow Democrats have been running the nation. But for states like Arizona, which was considered a purplish battleground state in years past, the wave won’t just be a small one. In fact, this tidal wave is likely to return the Grand Canyon State to solid red.
Well, at the top of the list is inflation.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index has gone up nationally by 7.9 percent in the last 12 months, basically since Biden was placed in power. But in Arizona, and more specifically the greater Phoenix metropolitan area, inflation is even higher, coming in at 10.9 percent in February with no real signs of diminishing.
Breaking this down even further, energy prices are up some 29.6 percent in Phoenix. Housing and shelter costs are up 12.4 percent. And food prices have now increased about 10.1 percent in the area.
Making matters even worse is the fact that Maricopa County, which houses Phoenix as well as surrounding cities like Scottsdale and Mesa, is noted to be one of the fastest-growing areas in the nation, which only increases the supply and demand problems being felt there.
Naturally, those issues will have a huge impact on the upcoming November midterm elections. In fact, as The Wall Street Journal pointed out, this will be the first election since 1980 in which inflation was made a central voting issue. Back then, Democrat President Jimmy Carter was defeated by Republican Ronald Reagan in a landslide. Additionally, that year gave the Senate back to the GOP for the first time since the 1950s.
As Fox News predicts via a number of polls, the odds of similar election results this year are more than likely. According to the outlet, around 66 percent of all voters disapprove of Biden’s inflation and the way it’s being handled. That includes 89 percent of all Republicans, 74 percent of independents, and even 39 percent of all Democrats.
And in the Phoenix area, which holds some 60 percent of all Arizona voters, the numbers aren’t all that different.
One poll shows the GOP is up 3.2 percent on the generic congressional ballot, while another says they are up a whopping 11 percent. The last time numbers for the GOP were that high was in 2010, which allowed the Republican party to pick up no less than 63 House seats and gain a massive majority.
Besides, it’s not like either congressional house, or even the current Democratic White House holds a majority that couldn’t easily be outdone. The Senate is currently all tied up with 50 on either side. The House Democrats only have a 5-seat majority. And in Arizona, Biden only won by 10,547 votes, which is less than one percent.
And so far, pretty much no one is happy with Biden’s presidential performance, including Arizonans.
Take 37-year-old Scottsdale resident, nurse, and independent Jillian Birnbaum, for example. She says, come November, she’s very likely to put Republicans only in office, saying that rising prices only started once Biden and his Democrats were put in power.
“There must be some reason for why it’s happening with this administration and not the last one.”
Indeed, there is.
And it’s causing just about every political race in Arizona to give the GOP a leg up.
Democrat Senator Mark Kelly, who beat the Trump-supported Martha McSally in 2020, is currently behind against a generic Republican 39 to 37 percent. And the GOP is taking the lead in the race for the governor’s seat on the generic ballot as well.
In the House, four of the most competitive races of the year are taking place in Arizona, including the state’s newly created 4th congressional district, which is in Maricopa County.
I think it’s safe to say the Democratic Party shouldn’t be hoping for major wins in the Grand Canyon State this year or any time soon.